PV industry dilemma: polysilicon shutdown production test new energy development

The polysilicon industry and the entire photovoltaic industry are now facing unprecedented difficulties, and new energy industry parks around the country have begun to work hard to carry out self-help work. Two years ago, the photovoltaic industry was still a local government to compete for the development of the fragrant, new energy industry parks everywhere. Nowadays, for many parks, it seems that the flowers are no longer the same, but what remains is a place. Four years ago, Sichuan Leshan decided to become one of China's largest polysilicon production bases and build China's “Silicon Valley”. At the end of last year, polysilicon enterprises in the photovoltaic industry park represented by Sichuan Xinguang Silicon Industry Technology Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as Xinguang Silicon Industry) began to stop production for technical transformation. “In July 2011, when the parent company of Leshan and the branch of Shuangliu successively stopped technical transformation, the polysilicon enterprises in the park have been discontinued.” Wu Shike, deputy general manager of Xinguang Silicon Technology Department, said in an interview. Not only Leshan, Sichuan's Chengdu, Ya'an, Meishan and other places, but even some of the photovoltaic industry parks across the country have encountered polysilicon enterprises stopped production. According to informed sources, in the Sichuan region alone, about 20,000 tons of polysilicon production lines have been discontinued. In the face of the industry downturn, how should the management of the park guide the development of the industry and the local economy? This is already a real exam in front of the managers of various PV industry parks. Temptation In fact, this is the accident and inevitability of the economic development of the park. In 2005, Wuxi Suntech was successfully listed on NASDAQ. In the following years, it was the explosive development of the photovoltaic industry. Polysilicon is in the upstream of the photovoltaic industry, and the price has soared, once breaking through 500 US dollars / kg. A polysilicon industry insider told this reporter that the temptation of polysilicon projects for companies and local governments is too big to be rejected. As long as the company has money, it will make money if you dare to invest. For the government, the polysilicon project of two or three thousand tons can bring hundreds of millions of GDP growth to the local area. This has led many companies to regard it as a place for gold mining, and the local governments that are busy attracting investment can't sit on the bench and scramble to develop photovoltaics. Moreover, PV is a good quality and good sunrise industry, which makes local governments that are criticized by the “environment for money” see new hopes for local economic development. The polysilicon industry not only satisfies the requirements of the local government to increase the GDP output value, but also meets the demands of the local government's industrial transformation and development, and there are not many such projects as polysilicon that can quickly boost local GDP projects. It is also important to note that polysilicon, as an integral part of the domestic new energy industry, is an industry encouraged by the state. Unlike other projects that implement the approval system, polysilicon is the implementation of the filing system, and the project's dominance is in place. It can be filed in the province. Therefore, local governments have been very active in developing polysilicon projects. As the competition in the polysilicon industry is no longer a competitive relationship between enterprises, it has evolved into competition among local governments. Driven by various interest factors, including Sichuan, the polysilicon industry is doing a good job in the country. In just a few years, polysilicon projects have been blooming, and polysilicon projects have been established in more than 20 provinces across the country. Local governments are also on polysilicon projects, regardless of conditions. However, such market development momentum has not lasted for too long. In 2008, the global economic crisis cooled this hot industry, and the demand for photovoltaic products fell rapidly, but the production capacity of domestic polysilicon was continuously released. According to statistics from the China Photovoltaic Industry Alliance, in 2010, global polysilicon production reached 160,000 tons, an increase of 52% compared with 105,000 tons in 2009. After the price of polysilicon reached the peak of the price of 500 US dollars / kg, it plunged rapidly. In 2011, the price of polysilicon fell from more than 70 US dollars / kg in the middle of the year to about 30 US dollars / kg at the end of the year, and now it has slipped to about 18 US dollars / kg. This not only makes polysilicon enterprises unbearable, but also allows the government to taste the bitter fruit of blind investment. The self-help polysilicon industry and the entire photovoltaic industry are now facing unprecedented difficulties, and local industrial parks have begun to work hard to carry out self-help work. The relevant person in charge of the Chengdu New Energy Promotion Office told the reporter: “At present, we are actively helping enterprises to develop domestic markets, and also helping enterprises to carry out their own innovation, improve production efficiency and reduce costs to improve the competitiveness of enterprises.” The parks that adhere to multiple technical routes have strong anti-risk capabilities. Polysilicon is affected, and there are other new energy sources in the park, such as thin-film batteries that are less affected. In addition, in addition to photovoltaics, the park also develops energy storage batteries and wind power for nuclear power. "Overall, our varieties are relatively homogeneous, walking on multiple legs, and multiple technical lines go hand in hand." The person in charge said. Jiang Wei, deputy director of the New Energy Industry Division of the Chengdu Economic and Information Technology Commission, holds different views on the problems facing the photovoltaic industry. After the investigation of the company, Jiang Wei believes that the difficulties facing the photovoltaic industry are not all bad things, which will promote the enterprise to do a good job in technology research and development, cost control, and expand the emerging market. He believes that we must first support and help enterprise technology advancement and expansion. Although the international photovoltaic industry is facing difficulties, the industry is generally expected to have a downturn of one to two years, but actively seize opportunities and advantages, and strive to learn from each other in terms of technology research and development improvement, operating cost control, and emerging market expansion. Strive to promote the steady development of the polysilicon industry. Specifically, we will focus on supporting the technological advancement of enterprises in terms of capital and talents. Based on the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” of the national PV industry, we will develop a catalogue of PV industry development based on the regional advantages: Which should focus on development, which should be optimized and which Planning for development should be limited. In addition, improving the level of enterprise cluster development and expanding the market in multiple ways is also the coping strategy that Jiang Wei calls for local parks to guide and local enterprises should implement. If the polysilicon enterprise industry chain is missing, it is necessary to help enterprises to make up the industrial chain. For example, high-end production equipment, system integration, etc. can be introduced. Through these methods, the vertical integration and integration of the industrial chain will be promoted and the group will be warmed up. Although the United States, the United Kingdom and other countries cut subsidies and conducted a double-reverse investigation of China's photovoltaic industry, we can still open up markets in emerging countries. “The markets such as the Atlantic, New Zealand and South Africa are very good. I am also optimistic about the prospects of these markets in Southeast Asia.” Jiang Wei said that the industry is very eager for the country to guide the domestic PV market as soon as possible and support the key leaders. Backbone enterprise. In the downturn of the market, the parks and enterprises should step up and speed up the construction of some major existing projects. After the downturn, these projects will be put into production. “The government should help enterprises to survive the downturn in the industry and provide appropriate subsidies and support within the legal framework. But it depends mainly on the enterprises themselves, otherwise we may become the object of anti-dumping and anti-subsidy by others.” Jiang Wei said that some projects It is very good, such as thin-film batteries, concentrating photovoltaics, etc., to guide the development of the park in these directions, as for the polysilicon industry, to maintain the existing enterprises, and then become bigger and stronger. In addition, local governments can also optimize the development environment. Based on the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” for the development of the national photovoltaic industry, appropriate development of emerging industries and new energy industries will make good use of some national policies. Such as photovoltaic roof plan, Golden Sun. In Jiang Yan's view, the polysilicon industry is a strategic emerging industry. In this market, there must be a period of volatility, which is normal. What the industrial park needs to do is to strengthen services and build related testing centers and technical engineering centers of enterprises. Because no matter how good or bad the industry is, even if the company goes bankrupt, the technology and knowledge of the research and development will always be valuable, no matter what period is valuable. Since photovoltaics belong to the battery industry, they are compatible with each other. Jiang Wei also suggested that some supporting enterprises can temporarily switch to other industries. However, companies that are purely new energy should now adopt technology R&D investment and reduce costs; appropriately lay off employees and appropriately reduce production; properly remove some financial expenses and strive for smoothness, and they will not be able to cut through the customs, and then merge and reorganize.

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