Briefly describe the development trend of China's cemented carbide industry in the near future

The amount of tungsten used in the cemented carbide industry accounts for more than 50% of the total tungsten used in the world. Therefore, the development of the cemented carbide industry directly affects China's tungsten industry. Lin Boying, president of the China Tungsten Industry Association's cemented carbide branch, analyzed the recent development trend of China's cemented carbide industry. In 2005, due to the sharp increase in tungsten concentrate prices and frequent price fluctuations, China's cemented carbide industry is the total production. There have been some changes in the corporate landscape, and this change will continue in the near future.
1. Analysis of the situation of cemented carbide industry in 2005
The total amount of alloy production has decreased. According to the statistics report of the cemented carbide branch, as of the third quarter of 2005, the national cemented carbide output was about 13,500 tons, which was about 9% lower than the same period of the previous year. According to the statistics, the output of welding blades and indexable inserts of blade alloys decreased by 870 tons and 158 tons respectively compared with the same period of the previous year. The output of geo-mineral alloys was about 2100 tons, which was about 250 tons lower than the same period of last year; drawing molds The alloy production is about 400 tons. More than 50 tons less than the same period of the previous year; shaped carbides produced about 210 tons, an increase of about 200 tons over the same period of the previous year, indicating that the application of cemented carbide is still expanding; top hammer-type hard alloys until 2005 At the end of September, a total of 528 tons were produced, which was less than 250 tons less than the same period of the previous year. In addition, the production of roll-type cemented carbide and tungsten powder and tungsten carbide powder was basically the same as that of the same period of last year.

In 2005, China's national economy grew by nearly 10%. China's tungsten powder, tungsten carbide powder and cemented carbide exports were basically the same as the same period of the previous year. The main reason for the decline in domestic cemented carbide production is closely related to the increase and fluctuation of tungsten prices this year. First, the increase in the price of tungsten concentrates led to a corresponding increase in the price of cemented carbide. The users of cemented carbide reduced the order by using more inventory and reducing inventory, which reduced the production of cemented carbide. Second, after the price of the alloy rose, the user reduced the processing cost. It is inevitable to increase the assessment of alloy consumption. Alloy users start with measures such as saving and improving the service life of the alloy, so that the consumption of the alloy is reduced. Third, after the alloy price is increased, some users are looking for alternative alloy products, 2005. China's high-speed steel knife production has increased significantly, which may be closely related to this.

The corporate landscape has changed. Lin Boying said that the rise and fluctuation of tungsten prices are related to the survival and development of cemented carbide enterprises. Some enterprises that have their own resources are uniquely endowed by the abundant profits brought by resources to support the production of hard alloys. The output of cemented carbides has doubled compared with the same period of last year, and the enterprises have developed rapidly.

The recycling of waste cemented carbide is in line with the national development of circular economy and accelerate the construction of a resource-saving society. The rising price of tungsten concentrates provides a rare opportunity for the development of waste carbide recycling enterprises. The tungsten carbide recycled tungsten carbide mixture has a significant price advantage compared with the alloy raw material produced from the tungsten concentrate. Taking tungsten carbide as an example, the regenerative material has a price difference of about 80,000 yuan per ton. Although the quality of the hard alloy produced by the recycled material is poor, the cost performance advantage is obvious, the market is more competitive, and the profit rate is higher. Therefore, many cemented carbide companies that produce waste cemented carbide recycling have achieved rapid development.

Lin Boying said that although some enterprises have no resources, but make proper decisions, domestic and foreign tungsten resources, primary resources and renewable resources have taken a multi-pronged approach, and another way to obtain obvious resource price advantages, such enterprises have also achieved rapid development. .

The above three types of enterprises with faster development have the common point that when the resource situation suddenly changes, the resource problem is solved in different forms, so that the cost performance of the enterprise product is superior in the market and competitive, thus winning the market, and the enterprise is also Got faster development. During the period, some enterprises failed to effectively solve the resource problems they faced when they suddenly changed their tungsten prices, and even they were always in a passive state. As a result, the production of enterprises was greatly affected, and the competitiveness of products declined. If these enterprises do not take effective measures as soon as possible . The continuation of the difficult situation will be inevitable. 2. Recent development trend of China's cemented carbide industry
Competition among enterprises will become more intense. Lin Boxing said that China's tungsten industry is currently in a blind development and disorderly competition. According to incomplete statistics, the annual production capacity of tungsten smelting in the country has exceeded 120,000 tons, the milling capacity has exceeded 52,000 tons, and the operating rate is less than 50%; the cemented carbide production capacity has exceeded 28,000 tons, and the operating rate is Also less than 60%. Take W powder and WC powder as an example, it is mainly used to produce cemented carbide. The world's cemented carbide production is about 38,000 tons, and the total WC consumption is less than 35,000 tons. The overcapacity can be imagined. Despite this, many companies continue to expand their production capacity and new capacity. Therefore, it is obvious that the fierce competition between enterprises is further intensified.

The recycling of waste cemented carbide and waste tungsten has received further attention. According to incomplete statistics, in 2005, China's waste cemented carbide recycling and utilization of about 5,000 tons, in addition to 4000-5000 tons of various types of waste tungsten utilization, it can be seen that China's waste tungsten recycling has exceeded 30% of the total domestic tungsten. Since the production of cemented carbide from the raw materials obtained by recycling waste cemented carbide has obvious advantages in production cost, many manufacturers of medium and low-grade cemented carbide have adopted it and tried to further expand the application range. It is foreseeable that the scale of recycling and utilization of waste cemented carbide and waste tungsten in China will be further expanded. This is conducive to the protection and rational use of tungsten resources in China. Of course, cemented carbide produced from recycled materials is generally of lower quality and has limited application areas. Many companies are also clearly aware of this and they are working hard to adopt the following measures. Improve the quality of such alloy products and expand its application areas:--improve the quality of recycled materials;--Increase process research and process management, and make coarse materials;--Recycled materials are converted into raw materials through wet smelting. Application, etc. The recycling of waste tungsten and waste hard alloys has been highly valued by the tungsten industry, which will surely promote the recycling economy of China's tungsten industry and save new development.

Tungsten resource channels will increase. Lin Boying believes that the high tungsten price has increased the channel of tungsten resources. According to various aspects of information analysis, from 2006 to 2007, the global supply of tungsten concentrate will increase by about 30,000 tons. Among them, the foreign increment is about 12,000 tons, and the domestic increment is about 18,000 tons. When the price of tungsten was low, the production of foreign tungsten concentrates almost stopped, and the increase in tungsten prices prompted the resumption of the tungsten mines that had been discontinued abroad. Since 2005, tungsten mines in some countries such as Canada, Peru, and Vietnam have been started, and some have already been put into production. For example, the mines in Yukon, Canada have been officially produced, and the capacity at full capacity can reach 6,000 tons per year. Domestic mines such as Yaogangxian, Shizhuyuan and Dagangshan are expanding their production capacity. New mines such as Fujian Luokeng and Xintianling are also under construction. In the first half of 2006, some new mines could be put into production. In addition, under the drive of high-profit, the phenomenon of indiscriminate mining of tungsten mines will be intensified, so the recent increase in resource channels is inevitable. The industry will see what impact it will have on tungsten prices.

The cemented carbide process technology and equipment level have been improved. For a long time. The process technology and equipment level of a large number of small and medium-sized cemented carbide enterprises in China are relatively low. Recently, due to the attention of local governments, some enterprises have brought significant benefits due to rising tungsten prices, and market competition has become more intense. The new round of technology and equipment upgrades in the cemented carbide industry is experiencing a boom.

At the same time, China's hard alloy special equipment manufacturing enterprises have been continuously introducing high-level production equipment after years of efforts. Some of the equipments are close to the advanced level in foreign countries, and they have created favorable conditions for China's cemented carbide industrial process technology and equipment level improvement. . Now the new four-tube reduction furnace, four-tube reduction furnace, intermediate frequency carbonization furnace, high-temperature molybdenum wire carbonization furnace, high-efficiency hydrogen purification device for milling, tiltable wet mill for alloy production, spray drying device, vacuum dewaxing and sintering Advanced equipment such as furnaces and pressure sintering furnaces are being used more and more widely. Many enterprises are also equipped with relatively complete and advanced analytical testing methods, and the continuous flow of talents among cemented carbide enterprises indicates that the varieties and quality of tungsten powder and cemented carbide in China will be more generally improved. The fiercer market competition will also be carried out at a new level. Whoever has a good price/performance ratio will be able to take the lead in the competition.

The pattern of cemented carbide enterprises continues to change. For a long time, except for the two cemented carbide enterprises in Zhuzhou and Zigong, the scale of other hard alloy enterprises is relatively small. Among the hundreds of hard alloy enterprises, there are less than 30 in the scale of hundreds of tons. In 2005, some enterprises seized the opportunity to develop rapidly, and some enterprises' production has approached 500 tons or even 1,000 tons. It can be expected that within one or two years, in addition to Zhuzhou and Zigong, there will be new cemented carbide plants of more than 1,000 tons, and 3 to 5 cemented carbide enterprises with output of more than 500 tons will be added. At the same time, some enterprises that are poorly managed, backward in technology, and poorly dealt with resource issues may have difficulty maintaining their livelihood or even closing down. Of course, there are also some enterprises that are facing difficulties. By summing up their experience, they will use their strengths to avoid weaknesses, take the road of quality development, and get out of the predicament through measures such as product structure adjustment and corporate restructuring.

Lin Boying believes that the above situation shows that the pattern change of cemented carbide enterprises will continue. The mainstream of this change is positive, and it will accelerate the development of China's cemented carbide industry in the right direction of high quality, complete varieties and deep processing. To make China take a bigger step, from a hard alloying country to a hard alloying country.  

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